After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-19

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 19.99 low. SPY 766.60.

FROG JFrog Ltd.

+7.9%

Cap: $11.2B
Last: 91.00
RSI 14: 46.9
vs SMA20: -3.7%

No named setup cleared the score bar. Readings still run.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	12.5%	>= top-3 avg 39.6%	0.32x	below
20d range high	91.00	> 103.39	-12.0%	below
20d range low	91.00	< 84.02	+8.3%	below
Relative volume	1.20x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.80x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	46.9	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	0.070 vs 1.156	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -1.086	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 18.797	<= 20%ile cutoff 18.899	0.99x cutoff	met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	-3.7%	-4.0% to +1.2%	-3.7%	met
vs 52w high (breakout)	-14.0%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-14.0%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	92.92 vs 70.05	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+32.6%	above
VIX	19.99 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	19.99	low

SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc.

+6.4%

Cap: $12.4B
Last: 15.57
RSI 14: 45.7
vs SMA20: -5.2%

No named setup cleared the score bar. Readings still run.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	57.6%	>= top-3 avg 59.7%	0.96x	below
20d range high	15.57	> 19.09	-18.4%	below
20d range low	15.57	< 14.56	+6.9%	below
Relative volume	0.88x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.59x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	45.7	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	-0.166 vs 0.130	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -0.296	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 21.958	<= 20%ile cutoff 19.612	1.12x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	-5.2%	-4.0% to +1.2%	-5.2%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-46.7%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-46.7%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	15.71 vs 16.29	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-3.5%	below
VIX	19.99 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	19.99	low

RMBS Rambus, Inc.

+6.2%

Cap: $10.1B
Last: 92.66
RSI 14: 43.2
vs SMA20: -10.3%

No named setup cleared the score bar. Readings still run.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	45.7%	>= top-3 avg 48.9%	0.93x	below
20d range high	92.66	> 114.97	-19.4%	below
20d range low	92.66	< 86.78	+6.8%	below
Relative volume	0.86x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.57x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	43.2	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	-0.601 vs 1.865	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -2.466	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 27.740	<= 20%ile cutoff 23.510	1.18x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	-10.3%	-4.0% to +1.2%	-10.3%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-46.8%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-46.8%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	95.19 vs 108.31	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-12.1%	below
VIX	19.99 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	19.99	low

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape FROG 1530 · SMMT 2300 · RMBS 2300

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Name	up day ≥	n	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY
FROG	8%	20	13	40.0%	50.8%	-0.6%	45.0%
SMMT	8%	63	26	38.1%	46.7%	+8.2%	39.7%
RMBS	8%	22	14	59.1%	56.3%	-0.1%	54.5%

Today's printed setups

Name	Setup	Side	n_eff	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
FROG	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SMMT	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
RMBS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Whole-panel walk

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	99	64.3	26	55.6%	51.3%	+2.1%	51.5%	49.4%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	90	60.3	24	55.6%	51.3%	+4.1%	55.6%	49.4%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	51.3%	—	—	49.4%	fail
breakout	buy	54	37.3	19	51.9%	51.3%	+1.0%	50.0%	49.4%	thin
golden_cross	buy	19	16.0	13	68.4%	51.3%	+3.7%	52.6%	49.4%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	11	11.0	7	36.4%	51.3%	+3.2%	54.5%	49.4%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	65	43.0	25	53.8%	51.3%	+2.5%	53.8%	49.4%	marginal
squeeze_breakout	buy	32	26.0	18	59.4%	51.3%	+0.3%	56.2%	49.4%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	74	52.0	26	52.7%	51.3%	+6.1%	48.6%	49.4%	marginal
deep_drawdown_value	buy	21	19.0	11	71.4%	51.3%	+7.0%	66.7%	49.4%	fail
death_cross	sell	19	18.0	17	47.4%	47.9%	-0.2%	52.6%	50.6%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	7	7.0	5	42.9%	47.9%	+6.1%	57.1%	50.6%	fail
breakdown	sell	32	24.0	14	50.0%	47.9%	-9.7%	53.1%	50.6%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	46	35.0	21	34.8%	47.9%	-12.4%	37.0%	50.6%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	20	18.0	12	20.0%	47.9%	-24.9%	35.0%	50.6%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	59	43.3	22	49.2%	47.9%	-0.7%	47.5%	50.6%	fail

FROG

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	20	20.0	11	60.0%	50.8%	+2.0%	55.0%	47.4%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	17	17.0	10	52.9%	50.8%	+3.3%	52.9%	47.4%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	50.8%	—	—	47.4%	fail
breakout	buy	13	13.0	9	46.2%	50.8%	-0.9%	46.2%	47.4%	fail
golden_cross	buy	4	4.0	4	75.0%	50.8%	+7.0%	50.0%	47.4%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	1	1.0	1	100.0%	50.8%	+16.4%	100.0%	47.4%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	14	14.0	11	57.1%	50.8%	+2.7%	57.1%	47.4%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	10	10.0	7	60.0%	50.8%	+1.4%	60.0%	47.4%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	13	13.0	9	46.2%	50.8%	+1.7%	38.5%	47.4%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	3	3.0	2	100.0%	50.8%	+11.8%	100.0%	47.4%	fail
death_cross	sell	4	4.0	3	50.0%	48.5%	-0.8%	50.0%	52.6%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	2	2.0	2	50.0%	48.5%	+7.0%	100.0%	52.6%	fail
breakdown	sell	8	8.0	5	50.0%	48.5%	-3.3%	50.0%	52.6%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	11	11.0	8	27.3%	48.5%	-5.0%	36.4%	52.6%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	4	4.0	3	25.0%	48.5%	-4.0%	50.0%	52.6%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	17	17.0	8	41.2%	48.5%	-0.5%	52.9%	52.6%	fail

RMBS

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	46	46.0	21	54.3%	56.3%	+1.1%	52.2%	54.2%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	43	43.0	20	58.1%	56.3%	+2.0%	60.5%	54.2%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	56.3%	—	—	54.2%	fail
breakout	buy	30	30.0	15	60.0%	56.3%	+0.3%	53.3%	54.2%	fail
golden_cross	buy	8	8.0	7	87.5%	56.3%	+6.3%	62.5%	54.2%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	2	2.0	2	50.0%	56.3%	+0.2%	50.0%	54.2%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	28	28.0	19	60.7%	56.3%	+0.8%	60.7%	54.2%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	15	15.0	11	80.0%	56.3%	+2.9%	73.3%	54.2%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	24	24.0	15	66.7%	56.3%	+3.2%	58.3%	54.2%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	17	17.0	10	64.7%	56.3%	+2.6%	58.8%	54.2%	fail
death_cross	sell	7	7.0	7	28.6%	42.9%	-4.6%	28.6%	45.8%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	3	3.0	3	33.3%	42.9%	-4.6%	0.0%	45.8%	fail
breakdown	sell	10	10.0	7	50.0%	42.9%	+1.1%	60.0%	45.8%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	19	19.0	14	26.3%	42.9%	-5.3%	31.6%	45.8%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	6	6.0	6	16.7%	42.9%	-8.8%	33.3%	45.8%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	16	16.0	10	37.5%	42.9%	-3.5%	31.2%	45.8%	fail

SMMT

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	33	33.0	17	54.5%	46.7%	+3.3%	48.5%	45.9%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	30	30.0	15	53.3%	46.7%	+7.5%	50.0%	45.9%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	46.7%	—	—	45.9%	fail
breakout	buy	11	11.0	8	36.4%	46.7%	+5.3%	45.5%	45.9%	fail
golden_cross	buy	7	7.0	6	42.9%	46.7%	-1.2%	42.9%	45.9%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	8	8.0	5	25.0%	46.7%	+2.4%	50.0%	45.9%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	23	23.0	17	43.5%	46.7%	+4.4%	43.5%	45.9%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	7	7.0	7	14.3%	46.7%	-7.1%	14.3%	45.9%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	37	37.0	21	45.9%	46.7%	+9.6%	45.9%	45.9%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	1	1.0	1	100.0%	46.7%	+66.6%	100.0%	45.9%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	8	62.5%	52.6%	+4.0%	75.0%	54.1%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	2	2.0	2	50.0%	52.6%	+21.4%	100.0%	54.1%	fail
breakdown	sell	14	14.0	10	50.0%	52.6%	-21.2%	50.0%	54.1%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	16	16.0	12	50.0%	52.6%	-25.9%	43.8%	54.1%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	10	10.0	8	20.0%	52.6%	-43.0%	30.0%	54.1%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	26	26.0	13	61.5%	52.6%	+0.9%	53.8%	54.1%	fail

2026-10-19

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Named-setup analog on these three

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

Today's printed setups

Whole-panel walk

FROG

RMBS

SMMT

Earlier mover prints