After Bell Investing

After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-05

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 15.52 low. SPY 774.83.

1

PTC PTC Inc.

+33.5%

Cap
$20.9B
Last
192.26
RSI 14
80.5
vs SMA20
+38.1%

Named setup volume breakout · 74/100 · buy

Failed break if close back under 149.38; stop ~175.49.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 11.2% >= top-3 avg 40.9% 0.27x below
20d range high 192.26 > 149.38 +28.7% met
20d range low 192.26 < 126.79 +51.6% below
Relative volume 9.47x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 6.31x vs expansion met
RSI_14 80.5 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 +10.5 vs 70 overbought
MACD vs signal 4.216 vs 0.037 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 4.180 above
Bollinger squeeze width 37.390 <= 20%ile cutoff 11.844 3.16x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +38.1% -4.0% to +1.2% +38.1% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -7.0% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -7.0% below
SMA50 vs SMA200 143.74 vs 145.20 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 -1.0% below
VIX 15.52 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.52 low
PTC dashboard

2

XP XP Inc.

+30.9%

Cap
$14.3B
Last
28.15
RSI 14
87.8
vs SMA20
+35.9%

Named setup breakout · 73/100 · buy

Failed breakout if close back below prior 52w high and stop ~25.57.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 45.0% >= top-3 avg 35.2% 1.28x met
20d range high 28.15 > 21.72 +29.6% met
20d range low 28.15 < 18.79 +49.8% below
Relative volume 4.63x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 3.09x vs expansion met
RSI_14 87.8 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 +17.8 vs 70 overbought
MACD vs signal 1.324 vs 0.899 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.425 above
Bollinger squeeze width 35.071 <= 20%ile cutoff 9.978 3.51x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +35.9% -4.0% to +1.2% +35.9% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -2.9% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -2.9% met
SMA50 vs SMA200 18.53 vs 18.27 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 +1.4% above
VIX 15.52 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.52 low
RSI bearish divergence price 20.00 → 21.21 · osc 77.32 → 72.55 price higher high AND oscillator lower high price +6.0% · osc -4.77 met
XP dashboard

3

PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc.

+30.7%

Cap
$11.0B
Last
73.82
RSI 14
76.6
vs SMA20
+25.1%

Named setup volume breakout · 72/100 · buy

Failed break if close back under 61.78; stop ~64.92.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 37.4% >= top-3 avg 43.4% 0.86x below
20d range high 73.82 > 61.78 +19.5% met
20d range low 73.82 < 55.08 +34.0% below
Relative volume 6.80x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 4.53x vs expansion met
RSI_14 76.6 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 +6.6 vs 70 overbought
MACD vs signal 0.585 vs -0.271 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.856 above
Bollinger squeeze width 24.854 <= 20%ile cutoff 10.466 2.37x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +25.1% -4.0% to +1.2% +25.1% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -18.7% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -18.7% below
SMA50 vs SMA200 58.92 vs 55.29 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 +6.6% above
VIX 15.52 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.52 low
PCVX dashboard

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape PTC 2300 · XP 1712 · PCVX 1586

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Nameup day ≥nepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPY
PTC 8% 6 5 83.3% 57.5% +1.7% 50.0%
XP 8% 16 10 50.0% 47.1% -0.2% 56.2%
PCVX 8% 17 10 47.1% 53.1% -0.3% 41.2%

Today's printed setups

NameSetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
PTC volume_breakout buy 18 18.0 13 50.0% 57.5% -0.7% 38.9% 52.0% fail
XP breakout buy 8 8.0 5 37.5% 47.1% -3.4% 50.0% 43.3% fail
PCVX volume_breakout buy 14 14.0 8 57.1% 53.1% +2.2% 57.1% 49.7% fail

Whole-panel walk

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 86 56.3 26 54.7% 53.1% +0.5% 54.7% 48.7% marginal
pullback_and_rs buy 85 56.3 25 51.8% 53.1% -0.7% 52.9% 48.7% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 53.1% — — 48.7% fail
breakout buy 49 39.0 20 53.1% 53.1% -1.1% 51.0% 48.7% fail
golden_cross buy 13 12.0 9 38.5% 53.1% -0.9% 53.8% 48.7% fail
bullish_divergence buy 17 15.0 10 70.6% 53.1% +2.8% 52.9% 48.7% fail
volume_breakout buy 48 38.0 23 54.2% 53.1% +1.8% 52.1% 48.7% thin
squeeze_breakout buy 28 25.4 15 67.9% 53.1% +1.9% 60.7% 48.7% fail
historic_drawdown buy 40 31.0 19 47.5% 53.1% +1.1% 45.0% 48.7% thin
deep_drawdown_value buy 19 17.0 10 42.1% 53.1% -2.4% 47.4% 48.7% fail
death_cross sell 15 13.0 12 33.3% 46.3% -0.8% 26.7% 51.3% fail
bearish_divergence sell 16 16.0 14 43.8% 46.3% -1.5% 50.0% 51.3% fail
breakdown sell 39 28.0 15 33.3% 46.3% -1.1% 41.0% 51.3% fail
volume_breakdown sell 36 28.0 19 47.2% 46.3% -0.7% 55.6% 51.3% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 17 16.0 12 64.7% 46.3% +2.9% 52.9% 51.3% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 51 39.3 19 41.2% 46.3% -1.1% 43.1% 51.3% fail

PCVX

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 28 28.0 15 64.3% 53.1% +3.1% 57.1% 49.7% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 28 28.0 15 57.1% 53.1% +0.1% 53.6% 49.7% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 53.1% — — 49.7% fail
breakout buy 14 14.0 8 42.9% 53.1% -2.2% 42.9% 49.7% fail
golden_cross buy 4 4.0 4 25.0% 53.1% +2.6% 50.0% 49.7% fail
bullish_divergence buy 3 3.0 3 100.0% 53.1% +4.3% 100.0% 49.7% fail
volume_breakout buy 14 14.0 8 57.1% 53.1% +2.2% 57.1% 49.7% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 6 6.0 6 100.0% 53.1% +7.9% 100.0% 49.7% fail
historic_drawdown buy 14 14.0 10 57.1% 53.1% +8.8% 50.0% 49.7% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 0 0.0 0 — 53.1% — — 49.7% fail
death_cross sell 3 3.0 3 33.3% 46.5% -4.9% 33.3% 50.3% fail
bearish_divergence sell 5 5.0 5 40.0% 46.5% +0.0% 20.0% 50.3% fail
breakdown sell 5 5.0 3 20.0% 46.5% -0.5% 20.0% 50.3% fail
volume_breakdown sell 8 8.0 7 62.5% 46.5% -1.1% 62.5% 50.3% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 4 4.0 4 75.0% 46.5% +13.7% 50.0% 50.3% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 9 9.0 5 22.2% 46.5% -6.4% 33.3% 50.3% fail

PTC

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 40 40.0 18 55.0% 57.5% +0.1% 55.0% 52.0% marginal
pullback_and_rs buy 40 40.0 18 52.5% 57.5% -0.2% 52.5% 52.0% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 57.5% — — 52.0% fail
breakout buy 27 27.0 15 63.0% 57.5% +0.3% 55.6% 52.0% fail
golden_cross buy 5 5.0 5 40.0% 57.5% -2.3% 60.0% 52.0% fail
bullish_divergence buy 8 8.0 6 62.5% 57.5% +2.0% 37.5% 52.0% fail
volume_breakout buy 18 18.0 13 50.0% 57.5% -0.7% 38.9% 52.0% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 14 14.0 10 71.4% 57.5% +0.3% 50.0% 52.0% fail
historic_drawdown buy 13 13.0 9 61.5% 57.5% -0.8% 61.5% 52.0% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 4 4.0 3 75.0% 57.5% +5.9% 100.0% 52.0% fail
death_cross sell 7 7.0 7 28.6% 41.8% -0.5% 14.3% 48.0% fail
bearish_divergence sell 9 9.0 8 33.3% 41.8% -3.2% 55.6% 48.0% fail
breakdown sell 18 18.0 9 27.8% 41.8% -0.3% 38.9% 48.0% fail
volume_breakdown sell 11 11.0 10 45.5% 41.8% +2.0% 72.7% 48.0% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 4 4.0 4 50.0% 41.8% -2.6% 25.0% 48.0% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 22 22.0 11 40.9% 41.8% -1.3% 36.4% 48.0% fail

XP

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 18 18.0 9 38.9% 47.1% -2.4% 50.0% 43.3% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 17 17.0 9 41.2% 47.1% -3.1% 52.9% 43.3% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 47.1% — — 43.3% fail
breakout buy 8 8.0 5 37.5% 47.1% -3.4% 50.0% 43.3% fail
golden_cross buy 4 4.0 4 50.0% 47.1% -2.8% 50.0% 43.3% fail
bullish_divergence buy 6 6.0 6 66.7% 47.1% +3.1% 50.0% 43.3% fail
volume_breakout buy 16 16.0 12 56.2% 47.1% +4.2% 62.5% 43.3% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 8 8.0 7 37.5% 47.1% +0.2% 50.0% 43.3% fail
historic_drawdown buy 13 13.0 9 23.1% 47.1% -5.5% 23.1% 43.3% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 15 15.0 9 33.3% 47.1% -4.7% 33.3% 43.3% fail
death_cross sell 5 5.0 5 40.0% 52.2% +1.2% 40.0% 56.7% fail
bearish_divergence sell 2 2.0 2 100.0% 52.2% +2.4% 100.0% 56.7% fail
breakdown sell 16 16.0 9 43.8% 52.2% -2.1% 50.0% 56.7% fail
volume_breakdown sell 17 17.0 11 41.2% 52.2% -2.3% 41.2% 56.7% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 9 9.0 7 66.7% 52.2% +0.6% 66.7% 56.7% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 20 20.0 10 50.0% 52.2% +1.4% 55.0% 56.7% fail

Earlier mover prints

  1. GMAB · VG · CART · 3 cards
  2. SPOT · ALLE · WCN · 3 cards
  3. SMCI · CRL · ZS · 3 cards
  4. TLK · EFX · HAS · 3 cards
  5. FROG · SMMT · RMBS · 3 cards
  6. AR · OVV · EQNR · 3 cards
  7. ERIC · TRU · CRCL · 3 cards
  8. HALO · GFS · UNH · 3 cards
  9. CDW · VG · INFY · 3 cards
  10. FICO · MANH · FRO · 3 cards
  11. CCI · MRNA · HUM · 3 cards
  12. CSGP · FLUT · PBF · 3 cards
  13. BSP · GKOS · SPOT · 3 cards
  14. CIEN · TLN · CEG · 3 cards
  15. IBRX · INIO · FPS · 3 cards