After Bell Investing

After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-02

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 15.31 low. SPY 769.64.

1

IBRX ImmunityBio, Inc.

+10.8%

Cap
$10.9B
Last
10.29
RSI 14
70.2
vs SMA20
+20.1%

Named setup volume breakout · 72/100 · buy

Failed break if close back under 10.09; stop ~9.07.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 75.7% >= top-3 avg 70.0% 1.08x met
20d range high 10.29 > 10.09 +1.9% met
20d range low 10.29 < 7.64 +34.6% below
Relative volume 2.40x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 1.60x vs expansion met
RSI_14 70.2 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 +0.2 vs 70 overbought
MACD vs signal 0.406 vs 0.264 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.141 above
Bollinger squeeze width 28.123 <= 20%ile cutoff 16.489 1.71x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +20.1% -4.0% to +1.2% +20.1% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -17.3% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -17.3% below
SMA50 vs SMA200 8.00 vs 7.21 golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200 +11.0% above
VIX 15.31 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.31 low
IBRX dashboard

2

INIO INNIO N.V.

+9.4%

Cap
$15.0B
Last
19.99
RSI 14
48.1
vs SMA20
+2.4%

No named setup cleared the score bar. Readings still run.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 51.4% >= mean of 3 completed pullbacks n/a n/a
20d range high 19.99 > 22.20 -10.0% below
20d range low 19.99 < 17.45 +14.6% below
Relative volume 0.94x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 0.62x vs expansion below
RSI_14 48.1 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 mid 30-70 inside
MACD vs signal -1.126 vs -1.346 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.219 above
Bollinger squeeze width 25.060 <= 20%ile cutoff 26.366 0.95x cutoff met
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +2.4% -4.0% to +1.2% +2.4% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -53.5% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -53.5% below
VIX 15.31 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.31 low
INIO dashboard

3

FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.

+8.1%

Cap
$12.9B
Last
40.35
RSI 14
61.3
vs SMA20
+13.5%

Named setup historic drawdown · 65/100 · buy

Stop ~35.55 (2x ATR) or a new closing low under the drawdown trough 28.64. Peak used for the open episode: 64.59.

Pattern readings

PatternCurrentThresholdvsStatus
Historic drawdown 37.5% >= top-3 avg 17.1% 2.19x met
20d range high 40.35 > 40.07 +0.7% met
20d range low 40.35 < 27.99 +44.2% below
Relative volume 0.78x >= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up 0.52x vs expansion below
RSI_14 61.3 oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70 mid 30-70 inside
MACD vs signal 1.191 vs 0.750 cross up: line > signal after line <= signal spread 0.442 above
Bollinger squeeze width 42.075 <= 20%ile cutoff 30.648 1.37x cutoff below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag) +13.5% -4.0% to +1.2% +13.5% outside
vs 52w high (breakout) -38.9% >= -3.0% (within 3% of high) -38.9% below
VIX 15.31 (low) elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30 15.31 low
FPS dashboard

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape IBRX 2300 · INIO 82 · FPS 166

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Nameup day ≥nepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPY
IBRX 8% 68 28 38.2% 45.6% +3.2% 44.1%
INIO 8% 2 1 0.0% 4.9% -26.0% 0.0%
FPS 8% 4 2 50.0% 51.0% +0.9% 50.0%

Today's printed setups

NameSetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
IBRX volume_breakout buy 23 23.0 17 43.5% 45.6% +11.2% 47.8% 43.3% fail
INIO — — 0 — — — — — — —
FPS historic_drawdown buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail

Whole-panel walk

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 22 22.0 10 45.5% 44.9% +17.0% 50.0% 42.5% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 21 21.0 10 47.6% 44.9% +16.3% 52.4% 42.5% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 44.9% — — 42.5% fail
breakout buy 8 8.0 5 62.5% 44.9% +23.1% 62.5% 42.5% fail
golden_cross buy 5 5.0 4 60.0% 44.9% +44.6% 60.0% 42.5% fail
bullish_divergence buy 9 9.0 7 66.7% 44.9% +8.2% 66.7% 42.5% fail
volume_breakout buy 23 23.0 17 43.5% 44.9% +11.2% 47.8% 42.5% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 15 15.0 11 26.7% 44.9% +5.1% 26.7% 42.5% fail
historic_drawdown buy 32 32.0 19 46.9% 44.9% +2.3% 43.8% 42.5% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 0 0.0 0 — 44.9% — — 42.5% fail
death_cross sell 5 5.0 5 60.0% 54.6% -20.5% 60.0% 57.5% fail
bearish_divergence sell 2 2.0 2 50.0% 54.6% +22.8% 50.0% 57.5% fail
breakdown sell 18 18.0 12 61.1% 54.6% -15.2% 61.1% 57.5% fail
volume_breakdown sell 16 16.0 14 75.0% 54.6% +12.2% 68.8% 57.5% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 15 15.0 11 66.7% 54.6% +6.8% 66.7% 57.5% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 35 35.0 15 71.4% 54.6% -3.9% 65.7% 57.5% fail

FPS

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
golden_cross buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
bullish_divergence buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
volume_breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
historic_drawdown buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 0 0.0 0 — 51.0% — — 48.3% fail
death_cross sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail
bearish_divergence sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail
breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail
volume_breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 0 0.0 0 — 49.0% — — 51.7% fail

IBRX

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 22 22.0 10 45.5% 45.6% +17.0% 50.0% 43.3% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 21 21.0 10 47.6% 45.6% +16.3% 52.4% 43.3% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 45.6% — — 43.3% fail
breakout buy 8 8.0 5 62.5% 45.6% +23.1% 62.5% 43.3% fail
golden_cross buy 5 5.0 4 60.0% 45.6% +44.6% 60.0% 43.3% fail
bullish_divergence buy 9 9.0 7 66.7% 45.6% +8.2% 66.7% 43.3% fail
volume_breakout buy 23 23.0 17 43.5% 45.6% +11.2% 47.8% 43.3% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 15 15.0 11 26.7% 45.6% +5.1% 26.7% 43.3% fail
historic_drawdown buy 32 32.0 19 46.9% 45.6% +2.3% 43.8% 43.3% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 0 0.0 0 — 45.6% — — 43.3% fail
death_cross sell 5 5.0 5 60.0% 53.9% -20.5% 60.0% 56.7% fail
bearish_divergence sell 2 2.0 2 50.0% 53.9% +22.8% 50.0% 56.7% fail
breakdown sell 18 18.0 12 61.1% 53.9% -15.2% 61.1% 56.7% fail
volume_breakdown sell 16 16.0 14 75.0% 53.9% +12.2% 68.8% 56.7% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 15 15.0 11 66.7% 53.9% +6.8% 66.7% 56.7% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 35 35.0 15 71.4% 53.9% -3.9% 65.7% 56.7% fail

INIO

SetupSidenn_effepisodes21d netbasevs SPYbeat SPYbase beatverdict
pullback_in_uptrend buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
pullback_and_rs buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
cheap_vs_industry buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
golden_cross buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
bullish_divergence buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
volume_breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
squeeze_breakout buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
historic_drawdown buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
deep_drawdown_value buy 0 0.0 0 — 4.9% — — 0.0% fail
death_cross sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail
bearish_divergence sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail
breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail
volume_breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail
squeeze_breakdown sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail
bounce_in_downtrend sell 0 0.0 0 — 93.4% — — 100.0% fail

Earlier mover prints

  1. GMAB · VG · CART · 3 cards
  2. SPOT · ALLE · WCN · 3 cards
  3. SMCI · CRL · ZS · 3 cards
  4. TLK · EFX · HAS · 3 cards
  5. FROG · SMMT · RMBS · 3 cards
  6. AR · OVV · EQNR · 3 cards
  7. ERIC · TRU · CRCL · 3 cards
  8. HALO · GFS · UNH · 3 cards
  9. CDW · VG · INFY · 3 cards
  10. FICO · MANH · FRO · 3 cards
  11. CCI · MRNA · HUM · 3 cards
  12. CSGP · FLUT · PBF · 3 cards
  13. BSP · GKOS · SPOT · 3 cards
  14. CIEN · TLN · CEG · 3 cards
  15. PTC · XP · PCVX · 3 cards