After Bell Investing · Stock of the Day

2026-10-08

Three large-cap Yahoo day gainers. Market cap ≥ $10B, US listing, real volume. Same pattern readings as the Mag7 print. Filed as a note beside the print. A one-day move is not a call. VIX 15.08 low. SPY 773.97.

CSGP CoStar Group, Inc.

+8.0%

Cap: $12.1B
Last: 29.81
RSI 14: 55.9
vs SMA20: +4.0%

Named setup deep drawdown value · 100/100 · buy

Stop ~27.60 (2x ATR) or TTM earnings turning negative.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	70.1%	>= top-3 avg 25.6%	2.74x	met
20d range high	29.81	> 31.83	-6.3%	below
20d range low	29.81	< 26.52	+12.4%	below
Relative volume	1.50x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	1.00x vs expansion	met
RSI_14	55.9	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	-0.669 vs -0.819	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 0.150	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 19.435	<= 20%ile cutoff 11.903	1.63x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+4.0%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+4.0%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-63.0%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-63.0%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	30.19 vs 39.34	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-23.2%	below
VIX	15.08 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.08	low

FLUT Flutter Entertainment plc

+7.6%

Cap: $14.2B
Last: 81.58
RSI 14: 43.0
vs SMA20: -3.7%

Named setup historic drawdown · 82/100 · buy

Stop ~73.12 (2x ATR) or a new closing low under the drawdown trough 74.45. Peak used for the open episode: 308.60.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	73.6%	>= top-3 avg 48.3%	1.52x	met
20d range high	81.58	> 102.39	-20.3%	below
20d range low	81.58	< 73.50	+11.0%	below
Relative volume	1.20x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.80x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	43.0	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	mid 30-70	inside
MACD vs signal	-5.630 vs -5.624	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread -0.006	below
Bollinger squeeze	width 43.520	<= 20%ile cutoff 14.033	3.10x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	-3.7%	-4.0% to +1.2%	-3.7%	met
vs 52w high (breakout)	-68.0%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-68.0%	below
SMA50 vs SMA200	93.47 vs 117.64	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	-20.5%	below
VIX	15.08 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.08	low

PBF PBF Energy Inc.

+6.8%

Cap: $10.6B
Last: 89.34
RSI 14: 70.8
vs SMA20: +15.8%

Named setup breakout · 65/100 · buy

Failed breakout if close back below prior 52w high and stop ~80.20.

New on the local stock list this close.

Pattern readings

Pattern	Current	Threshold	vs	Status
Historic drawdown	0.0%	>= top-3 avg 68.3%	0.00x	below
20d range high	89.34	> 85.75	+4.2%	met
20d range low	89.34	< 68.40	+30.6%	below
Relative volume	0.74x	>= 1.50x expansion / <= 0.70x dry-up	0.49x vs expansion	below
RSI_14	70.8	oversold < 30 · reset 35-58 · overbought > 70	+0.8 vs 70	overbought
MACD vs signal	3.505 vs 2.388	cross up: line > signal after line <= signal	spread 1.117	above
Bollinger squeeze	width 26.366	<= 20%ile cutoff 15.495	1.70x cutoff	below
vs SMA20 (pullback tag)	+15.8%	-4.0% to +1.2%	+15.8%	outside
vs 52w high (breakout)	-0.2%	>= -3.0% (within 3% of high)	-0.2%	met
SMA50 vs SMA200	73.51 vs 49.42	golden: 50 > 200 · death: 50 < 200	+48.7%	above
VIX	15.08 (low)	elevated >= 20 · stress >= 30	15.08	low

Named-setup analog on these three

Research analog, not a forecast. Close-to-close after the first session a named setup clears min_score. Onsets are at least 21 sessions apart. A win on a buy is a higher close 21 sessions later, net of 10 bps. A win on a sell is a lower close. Hit rate is always shown next to the same names' unconditional 21-session rate. Mag7 thresholds (n ≥ 40, n_eff ≥ 40) are reported for comparability, but this walk can never earn a cleared grade: on one name n_eff equals n by construction, so read n_episodes — onsets grouped into quarter-wide windows — as the independence count. One long drawdown re-arms a washout setup every quarter and shows up as many onsets. The names were also selected because they jumped today, and the $10B floor is measured today while the history covers the era when the name was far smaller.

Lookback 2300 sessions · onset gap 21 · tape CSGP 2300 · FLUT 2300 · PBF 2300

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

The page picks names because they jumped. This is that entry on each name's own history — not a named setup.

Name	up day ≥	n	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY
CSGP	8%	10	8	40.0%	53.1%	-1.7%	40.0%
FLUT	8%	17	13	64.7%	51.0%	+2.3%	64.7%
PBF	8%	35	18	71.4%	55.9%	+7.9%	68.6%

Today's printed setups

Name	Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
CSGP	deep_drawdown_value	buy	9	9.0	6	55.6%	53.1%	+0.9%	55.6%	48.8%	fail
FLUT	historic_drawdown	buy	8	8.0	5	50.0%	51.0%	-3.0%	37.5%	49.2%	fail
PBF	breakout	buy	23	23.0	15	73.9%	55.9%	+4.1%	65.2%	51.1%	fail

Whole-panel walk

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	118	71.3	28	61.0%	53.3%	+0.5%	52.5%	49.7%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	109	75.5	29	65.1%	53.3%	+1.6%	58.7%	49.7%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	53.3%	—	—	49.7%	fail
breakout	buy	80	57.3	26	61.3%	53.3%	+0.9%	56.2%	49.7%	marginal
golden_cross	buy	20	17.0	12	70.0%	53.3%	+1.0%	55.0%	49.7%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	19	15.0	9	47.4%	53.3%	-4.6%	31.6%	49.7%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	63	45.3	25	55.6%	53.3%	+1.8%	54.0%	49.7%	marginal
squeeze_breakout	buy	36	28.0	16	55.6%	53.3%	+2.9%	61.1%	49.7%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	36	28.0	17	47.2%	53.3%	-2.1%	33.3%	49.7%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	24	21.0	13	41.7%	53.3%	-5.5%	33.3%	49.7%	fail
death_cross	sell	22	17.0	12	50.0%	45.3%	+2.0%	54.5%	50.3%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	11	9.0	7	36.4%	45.3%	-4.0%	36.4%	50.3%	fail
breakdown	sell	54	39.5	21	46.3%	45.3%	+1.5%	53.7%	50.3%	thin
volume_breakdown	sell	59	38.8	21	49.2%	45.3%	+1.0%	50.8%	50.3%	thin
squeeze_breakdown	sell	32	27.0	16	59.4%	45.3%	+3.4%	65.6%	50.3%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	63	47.5	21	47.6%	45.3%	-0.7%	52.4%	50.3%	fail

CSGP

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	44	44.0	18	61.4%	53.1%	+0.1%	50.0%	48.8%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	41	41.0	17	65.9%	53.1%	+0.4%	58.5%	48.8%	marginal
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	53.1%	—	—	48.8%	fail
breakout	buy	30	30.0	15	53.3%	53.1%	-0.4%	60.0%	48.8%	fail
golden_cross	buy	6	6.0	6	100.0%	53.1%	+6.7%	100.0%	48.8%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	9	9.0	7	55.6%	53.1%	-1.5%	44.4%	48.8%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	18	18.0	13	44.4%	53.1%	+0.2%	55.6%	48.8%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	15	15.0	9	46.7%	53.1%	+0.2%	60.0%	48.8%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	7	7.0	5	42.9%	53.1%	-3.7%	28.6%	48.8%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	9	9.0	6	55.6%	53.1%	+0.9%	55.6%	48.8%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	7	37.5%	45.8%	+1.1%	50.0%	51.2%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	1	1.0	1	0.0%	45.8%	-11.7%	0.0%	51.2%	fail
breakdown	sell	17	17.0	8	52.9%	45.8%	+3.7%	64.7%	51.2%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	15	15.0	11	53.3%	45.8%	+2.4%	60.0%	51.2%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	11	11.0	10	54.5%	45.8%	+0.3%	63.6%	51.2%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	21	21.0	11	52.4%	45.8%	-0.2%	52.4%	51.2%	fail

FLUT

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	34	34.0	17	61.8%	51.0%	+0.5%	58.8%	49.2%	fail
pullback_and_rs	buy	33	33.0	16	63.6%	51.0%	+0.7%	57.6%	49.2%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	51.0%	—	—	49.2%	fail
breakout	buy	27	27.0	14	59.3%	51.0%	-0.4%	44.4%	49.2%	fail
golden_cross	buy	7	7.0	7	71.4%	51.0%	-1.0%	57.1%	49.2%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	5	5.0	5	80.0%	51.0%	-3.3%	40.0%	49.2%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	27	27.0	17	59.3%	51.0%	+1.1%	51.9%	49.2%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	9	9.0	8	55.6%	51.0%	-0.4%	55.6%	49.2%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	8	8.0	5	50.0%	51.0%	-3.0%	37.5%	49.2%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	2	2.0	2	0.0%	51.0%	-7.4%	0.0%	49.2%	fail
death_cross	sell	8	8.0	7	75.0%	46.5%	+2.2%	75.0%	50.8%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	4	4.0	3	50.0%	46.5%	+1.0%	50.0%	50.8%	fail
breakdown	sell	21	21.0	14	47.6%	46.5%	+0.6%	52.4%	50.8%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	26	26.0	14	42.3%	46.5%	+1.2%	50.0%	50.8%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	10	10.0	8	60.0%	46.5%	+5.7%	60.0%	50.8%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	20	20.0	12	50.0%	46.5%	+1.2%	50.0%	50.8%	fail

PBF

Setup	Side	n	n_eff	episodes	21d net	base	vs SPY	beat SPY	base beat	verdict
pullback_in_uptrend	buy	40	40.0	17	60.0%	55.9%	+1.1%	50.0%	51.1%	marginal
pullback_and_rs	buy	35	35.0	17	65.7%	55.9%	+3.7%	60.0%	51.1%	fail
cheap_vs_industry	buy	0	0.0	0	—	55.9%	—	—	51.1%	fail
breakout	buy	23	23.0	15	73.9%	55.9%	+4.1%	65.2%	51.1%	fail
golden_cross	buy	7	7.0	7	42.9%	55.9%	-2.0%	14.3%	51.1%	fail
bullish_divergence	buy	5	5.0	4	0.0%	55.9%	-11.4%	0.0%	51.1%	fail
volume_breakout	buy	18	18.0	13	61.1%	55.9%	+4.4%	55.6%	51.1%	fail
squeeze_breakout	buy	12	12.0	11	66.7%	55.9%	+8.8%	66.7%	51.1%	fail
historic_drawdown	buy	21	21.0	15	47.6%	55.9%	-1.3%	33.3%	51.1%	fail
deep_drawdown_value	buy	13	13.0	9	38.5%	55.9%	-9.7%	23.1%	51.1%	fail
death_cross	sell	6	6.0	6	33.3%	43.6%	+2.8%	33.3%	48.9%	fail
bearish_divergence	sell	6	6.0	6	33.3%	43.6%	-6.1%	33.3%	48.9%	fail
breakdown	sell	16	16.0	10	37.5%	43.6%	+0.4%	43.8%	48.9%	fail
volume_breakdown	sell	18	18.0	13	55.6%	43.6%	-0.6%	44.4%	48.9%	fail
squeeze_breakdown	sell	11	11.0	10	63.6%	43.6%	+4.4%	72.7%	48.9%	fail
bounce_in_downtrend	sell	22	22.0	12	40.9%	43.6%	-2.9%	54.5%	48.9%	fail

2026-10-08

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Pattern readings

Named-setup analog on these three

Premise check: buying this name after a big up day

Today's printed setups

Whole-panel walk

CSGP

FLUT

PBF

Earlier mover prints